Brexit Britain from Abroad: Talks Deadlocked, Disappointing… Doomed?

Talks Stalled

The European Union's chief negotiator on Brexit talks says negotiations with the United Kingdom are stuck in a state of deadlock.

Key points:

Concern mounts that the parties might run out of time for a deal

British proposals on expatriate citizens' rights and the Irish border fail EU test

EU negotiator remains confident "decisive progress is within reach"

The EU wants to know what divorce bill Britain is prepared to pay before talks go any further.

British officials, on the other hand want to begin trade talks now, before they commit billions.

Britain's Brexit Secretary David Davis insisted talks were going well but the EU's chief negotiator Michel Barnier said a lack of agreement on a divorce bill was very disturbing for many Europeans.

Mr Barnier said trade talks were likely to be delayed by months, increasing the chance of no deal being done.

He said British proposals on expatriate citizens' rights and the Irish border still failed the EU test, while London's refusal to spell out a detailed cash offer was "very worrying" for business

James Glenday, ABC Online

Why Talks are Stuck

"A fifth round of negotiations starts today, I guess you know? " The Brussels correspondent of a British daily in the European Commission press room said on Monday (October 9th). Margaritis Schinas, the institution's chief spokesman, replied with a knowing smile. He has obviously not forgotten this new round of discussions on Brexit between London and Brussels, and keeps his language elements ready. But the rest of the room is mainly interested in the Catalan crisis or the last appearance at the Eurogroup on the same day of German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaüble.

And for good reason: on the European side, no one expects much from these new meetings between the teams of Michel Barnier, the pilot of the negotiations for the European Union, and those of his British alter ego, David Davis, who not even made the trip to Brussels for the occasion. In reality, the British Conservatives seem too busy to negotiate with each other in order to concentrate on Brussels discussions that are bogged down.

Philip Bernard and Cécile Ducourtieux, Le Monde

EU Remaining Tough

A British government official said after Barnier and Davis’ press conference that they wanted more than a simple trade agreement like Nafta. What exactly, he did not want to betray. But they were ready to talk about the future - "now immediately". The problem: EU chief economist Barnier also emphasized on Thursday that the details of the withdrawal - including the tormented financial question - had to be clarified. He had to adhere to this "precise mandate" of the heads of state and government.

In the British camp this is a good sign. It was a kind of call for help from Barnier to the heads of state and government to grant him more room at the summit next week. Whether this will happen, however, appears questionable. Sure, it is sad that the British leave the EU, said Chancellor Angela Merkel on Thursday in Hanover. But the negotiations "will be carried out in such a way that the least possible damage for us here in Germany arises".

In the past few months, the EU has made progress in the area of ​​refugee, migration and defense policy, which would have been unthinkable a decade ago. The other 27 Member States are "really determined" to develop Europe. Merkel's grief over the British exit, it seems, is limited.

Markus Becker, Die Spiegel

IMF Predict Strong Growth... Except in Britain

The global economic recovery is strengthened but, says the IMF in the report, it is necessary to keep the guard high because it is a "vulnerable" recovery and presents "serious risk factors". As for the Eurozone, there is a sharp increase in expectations, with a GDP of + 2.1% in 2017 and + 1.9% in 2018, or 0.2 percentage points more for both years . The forward move allows the Eurozone to shorten the US distances, which are up 2.2% this year (+0.1 points) and the next of 2.3% (+0.2 points).

In the Eurozone, Spain grew by 3.1% in 2017 and then slow down to + 2.5% in 2018. Growth in Germany was up by + 2.0% this year and +1, 8% next. France will grow by 2017, by 6% and by 2018 by 1.8%.

The odd one out is Britain, whose estimates were down 0.3% this year due to the uncertainties surrounding Brexit . China continues to grow at sustained pace but India is one that records higher growth rates than the 7% threshold.

Francesco Simprini, La Stampa

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